Expert systems are inevitable
Don’t get left behind, Flash is the future
Java Applets will replace all other software
Cryptocurrency will obsolete fiat currency
Better claim your stake in the Metaverse
By 2015, we will all have self-driving cars
Pen computing is going to end keyboards on laptops
You’ll look so stupid if you miss out on NFTs
@thomasfuchs bah, Java applets. Clearly, Active X and Silverlight are the future!
@thomasfuchs Are you (or who wrote this) secretly worshipping Steve Ballmers sweaty blue shirts? 😂🤣
@thomasfuchs you might be on to something!
@thomasfuchs Monorail! Monorail! Monorail!
@thomasfuchs
“2026: if your best friend isn’t an AI by now, you’re not actually living”
Note to self: still goin’ strong…
@thomasfuchs OTOH, I was dubious about predictions on smart phones but they are more powerful than the futurists ever imagined
@thomasfuchs where's my internet of things? I heard it'll be bigger than the smartphone revolution
@thomasfuchs AOL will become the portal to the Internet.
@GayDeceiver Nah, eWorld will triumph over AOL
@thomasfuchs Otoh, nobody saw email coming.
@ftranschel Arguably the "killer app" of the Internet as a whole, and I don't think anyone had to get hyped to buy into it.
@thomasfuchs @tommorris well, the first is actually possible. I have a hunch that "expert systems" will be the new name for bastardized AI in the future, just as AI became "learning science" in academia after it failed in the 1980s.
Flying cars for the win.
The beginning was:
"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."
- Thomas J. Watson (IBM 1943)
@thomasfuchs something something civilization on Mars 
@thomasfuchs binned all my records and repurchased all my music on 8-track cassettes
Ok, see you later, off to cross the Atlantic in a zeppelin
@thomasfuchs i dunno, flash *was* pretty cool. it got us strong bad at least
@thomasfuchs A crypto guru telling me I'll look stupid?
Sure. 😂
@thomasfuchs
At least flash had a vibrant game development scene
Ages ago, I did try my hand at some flash. Took a course. It was fun. I tell my younger relatives about it while I reminisce about things gone by like my xanga
@thomasfuchs Visual programming has been around the corner from mainstream for as long as I've been touching computers. It feels like fusion that way.
@thomasfuchs This is the natural course of life and these things are inevitable.
@thomasfuchs I distinctly remember that being said about the internet.
@thomasfuchs VRML will be the end of the flat web. Who wants to browse text in 2D when you can browse in 3D?
Only someone too young to remember SecondLife could have possibly thought the Metaverse was going to something anyone wanted.
@thomasfuchs "Futurology is a mug's game", but I also hold respect for it. You have to make a prediction to judge a prediction, and to judge your own self.
May I counter with:
"Touch screens are the future", or,
"Smartphones will take over" — 1990s man, probably holding a Newton or Palm Pilot
Some things need work, lots of hard work
The steam engine was like that — spending centuries as a stupid toy
@thomasfuchs
AOL keyword
Visit us in Second Life at...
Find me on MySpace
@thomasfuchs
I remember when the IBM PC jr. was going to change everything.
I assume that happened....I haven't really been paying attention during the intervening years
@thomasfuchs Today my boss told everyone in engineering that if they didn't get on the AI train it would be like the folks who didn't get on board with writing JavaScript for websites, or [half a dozen flawed analogies]. That they would get left behind and become unemployable because hiring managers would obviously choose people who can churn out code faster. And he didn't want anyone getting left behind so they need to get on board and start learning it.
🤦♂️🤦🤦♀️
(Incoming layoffs? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯)
@thomasfuchs If expert systems weren't inevitable, how do you explain what I just did with a C64?
@christopherdrum whatever it is you did, I’m only 85% sure of it
(Also I need to read those Dreyfus books I have.)
@thomasfuchs 85% is good enough for me (I'm easy to please).
@thomasfuchs You missed 3D TVs.
@a_phlaming_phoenix they’re in my follow-up quote post 😅
@thomasfuchs covfefe covfefe
@thomasfuchs 640 kb should be enough for anyone
@thomasfuchs Why's my boy Flash catching strays? It was actually tight for quite some time 😂 of course it's time came, but it at least DID deliver.
@rapscalorie Sorry for killing Flash! (Which is something I literally had a big part in.)
@thomasfuchs Join the techy side of Mastodon they said, it'll be fun they said! 😡
Nah I know it had to go, I just grew up on newgrounds haha. That's pretty interesting though!
Make sure you buy a 3D TV
@thomasfuchs lies, Silverlight is gonna replace Flash!!! 😏
@thomasfuchs lies, Silverlight is gonna replace Flash!!! 😏
@thomasfuchs Forty years ago last month I got my first software development job.
So it's about forty years and 30 days since I first heard someone say "... and we won't need programmers any more".
@thomasfuchs My nephew works in tech and he's pulled this shit with me on crypto/blockchain and NFTs and every time I'm like, "Eh, I don't think so, guess we'll see." To his credit, he didn't bother reaching out to prophesize about AI to me 😂
@thomasfuchs Lol this was great, and so true. Gotta love hype cycles, especially when they get out of control
@thomasfuchs Mars! We are going to settle Mars
@thomasfuchs "The safety of steel between pedal and wheel."
@thomasfuchs expert systems had least had the promise of bieng reliable
@thomasfuchs Buy a plot on Mars now!
@thomasfuchs this man is a prophet
pen computing seems the most doable of this list.
@thomasfuchs there was that whole metaverse land rush. Like better get some virtual real estate now before it all... goes?
Was also a way of younger people locked out of the real housing market to have some sort of property ownership. Not sure how having a metaverse island makes you less homeless.
@smallsees All of the listed technologies are bullshit when seen from how they were marketed.
Usually they have some niche useful aspects, but they’re usually sold as “the next big thing” with extreme levels of hype.
@thomasfuchs
No no, you just need to *believe*
The next big thing will be BIG! Totally unlike all those other pevious NBDs
@thomasfuchs I think what you are referring it possible obviously you leading a great operation
@thomasfuchs can someone explain to me how they tied crypto to a fiat currency? Where is the inherent value in a bitcoin?
@crumbletiltskin @thomasfuchs The inherent value is in mass delusion. Or I guess in faith that money, launderers and drug dealers will always need a way to do their business. 🤷🏻♂️
640KB should be enough for everyone.
@thomasfuchs @steltenpower MOOCs will replace education and badges your degrees
@thomasfuchs dafuq is pen computing?
@thomasfuchs @utf_7 the opening to this Wikipedia entry reads like a classic @jk toot
@thomasfuchs someone already mastered dark souls with this?
@thomasfuchs Looking over this list of over-hyped technologies, I am so glad I did not get involved with any of them. I like tried, true, and practical tools.
@thomasfuchs "Experts system are inevitable". Can someone explain this on ?
That makes me wonder: what are the most transformative technologies of the past 50 years that everybody just shrugged and adopted because they weren't backed by the filthy rich?
@jrdepriest @thomasfuchs A lot of my suggestions turned out to be just beyond 50 years old. Microprocessors, TCP, Unix.
I think I'll go with the iPhone 3G, aka, 'the smartphone'. And yeah, that has microprocessors and TCP and Unix. My argument would be that the integration of all those technologies created another thing entirely.
@thomasfuchs You could think that the crystal balls of past IT visionaries were already running on an early LLM
Thanks for the laughs!
@thomasfuchs never forgot the "Mars in 2025 !". Still waiting to flee the madness of humanity 🌎
@thomasfuchs Something something XHTML
@CryogenicIce9 I mean at least that kind of led to HTML5
@thomasfuchs @CryogenicIce9 the were so many things in XHTML2 that were better than HTML5 that it's hard ti cœur that a win
@thomasfuchs The real tragedy is that Flash was long dead by the time NFTs came around. 🙃
(But for real in hindsight I kinda miss Flash sometimes.)
@thomasfuchs I'm reading this post on google glass and then writing it up in a knol
@thomasfuchs And forty years of no need to learn to touchtype bc everything will be voice input. 😹
