So I've been digging through the OSINT on the brewing US conflict on Iran for basically the last month and another aspect I've been keenly watching is the sale of Chinese made anti-ship missiles to Iran.
Having high quality missiles used to be unique to the US, but now EVERYONE has missiles.
And the problem is that missiles are a massive existential threat to US carrier groups.
The Iranian response has been SWIFT!
In Bahrain, where the US Navy's 5th Fleet support facility was seen receiving multiple direct strikes to the base.
Trump claims the US's goal has been to decapite Iran's leadership. Its clear that has not been effective.
Iran simultaneously fired ballistic missiles at Israel, Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, Saudi, Kuwait ALL within ONE hour!
The strikes by Iran on US assets appear to be well planned and accurately targeted.
Fast moving ballastic missiles appear to my eyes to be hitting radar's and other CRITICAL air defense equipment.
Secondary waves of SLOW & CHEAP Iranian drones then immediately exploited these openings.
Additional footage from Bahrain's US Navy installation show this strategy clearly at work hitting AD radome.
Early this morning the US has been claiming "no American casualties" and that just sounds like utter bullshit after seeing this footage. Key to keep in mind is that many of these videos were filmed and uploaded by US personel. In some clips you can CLEARLY hear their disbelief & terror as missiles made it through air defense systems unstopped.
The strategic situation is also much more complex at this moment than many American's likely understand.
There's a LOT of Russian and Chinese military assets already in the area due to joint exercises they recently did in partnership with Iran.
They are not likely to kinetically interact with the US or Israel but are likely providing the exact same type of ISR feeds to Iran that the US fed Ukraine during the initial Russian attacks on Kyiv.
Iran is kinda OP right now.
Literally just TWO days ago China was publicly flexing their ISR capability. On the 26th they published maps and photos of where the US's most valuable fighter just were stationed.
The US flew hundreds of flights over the last week to move these fighter jets and their support crews into theater.
It's clear China has the ability to track US assets in near realtime and likely published these maps as a deterrent.
So I've been digging through the OSINT on the brewing US conflict on Iran for basically the last month and another aspect I've been keenly watching is the sale of Chinese made anti-ship missiles to Iran.
Having high quality missiles used to be unique to the US, but now EVERYONE has missiles.
And the problem is that missiles are a massive existential threat to US carrier groups.
